UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre

UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre

The first time the UFC held an event at Madison Square Garden, it featured Conor McGregor’s stunning victory over Eddie Alvarez to become the first-ever two-weight world champion in the UFC. UFC 205 also featured two other championship bouts, one between Tyron Woodley and Stephen Thompson and also Joanna Jedrzejczyk defended her title against Karolina Kowalkiewicz.

So, to not take a backward step, the UFC has stacked the deck again and possibly exceeded any realistic expectations for the promotions card to MSG. The event features three fantastic world championship bouts and also a high-quality preliminary card to support the top end of the card.

The main event should be unforgettable. Michael Bisping will defend his UFC Middleweight Championship against Georges St-Pierre. By UFC 217, it will have been four years since GSP last competed in mixed martial arts. He is undefeated since 2007 and left the UFC on a 12-fight winning streak. He never lost his UFC Welterweight Championship and instead relinquished it after the fight with Johny Hendricks at UFC 167.

GSP has an incredibly tough challenge ahead of him at UFC 217. If coming back after four years is not hard enough, how about the grit and determination of the man standing toe-to-toe with him at MSG this time around – Michael Bisping. Bisping earned the title by defeating Luke Rockhold at UFC 199, and then successfully defended the title against Dan Henderson at UFC 204 in October 2016. Bisping is on a five-fight winning streak and will undoubtedly want to prove the doubters wrong.

In the co-main event, T.J. Dillashaw will attempt to snatch Cody Garbrandt’s UFC Bantamweight Championship from him. Dillashaw and Garbrandt have one of the longest-running and most powerful rivalries in the UFC today with both fighters extremely disliking one another. The two used to be friends and teammates who trained at Team Alpha Male together but Dillashaw up and left the gym to go and train elsewhere. Garbrandt believes leaving his gym behind is the ultimate disrespect and wants to make Dillashaw pay for it. It will be the first time Cody Garbrandt has defended his title since taking the belt from Dominick Cruz at UFC 207.

If that is not enough, the most dominant champion in women’s mixed martial arts history, Joanna Jedrzejczyk, is up against Rose Namajunas with the title on the line. Jedrzejczyk has surpassed Ronda Rousey as the most feared and exceptional female mixed martial artist and will be looking to defend her title for the sixth consecutive time this weekend at UFC 217. She is dismissed of all of the top contenders who have challenged her previously, and now she hopes to send another one home unsuccessful. Rose Namajunas is not just ‘another challenger’ though. Namajunas is vicious, talented and unorthodox and recently submitted Michelle Waterson easily in the second round at UFC on FOX 24. This has the potential to be one of the best bouts of the year, not just at UFC 217.

The main card will begin with another two fascinating bouts as Johny Hendricks looks to stop the undefeated Paulo Borrachinha and Stephen Thompson will face off with Jorge Masvidal. To many diehard MMA fans, the Thompson vs. Masvidal fight is the most exciting of the night and just proves how incredible this event is.

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Predictions and Best Bets

Cody Garbrandt vs. T.J. Dillashaw

Cody Garbrandt is undoubtedly one of the best pound-for-pound fighters in the entire organization. He is lightning-fast, has excellent movement, timing and distance management and has insane accuracy with his hands. He dismantled Dominick Cruz in a way that we have never seen before and beat him up over the course of five rounds. Because of this, Garbrandt deserves to be entering the fight with T.J. Dillashaw as the betting favorite. However the gap should be much closer than it is.

The bookmakers have disrespected Dillashaw upon entering UFC 217. This is a guy who scored one of the greatest upsets of all time when he defeated Renan Barao at UFC 173 to win the UFC Bantamweight Championship. He also went on to defend it twice before losing it via split decision to Dominick Cruz. Since then, he has decisively beaten Raphael Assuncao and John Lineker to earn another shot at the championship.

Garbrandt is an incredible fighter, but Dillashaw is just as good. Realistically, the odds between these two fighters should not have much differential at all, and therefore the value play is to select Dillashaw to win.

Bet: T.J. Dillashaw to win
Odds: +158 (79/50, $2.58)

Bonus Accumulator Bet

There are five underdogs across UFC 217 which we believe to have outstanding value.

  • Johny Hendricks
  • Aleksei Oleinik
  • Jorge Masvidal
  • J. Dillashaw
  • Mickey Gall

By combining these five selections into an accumulator (multi bet) we get ridiculous odds of 192/1.

UFC 217 card

UFC 217 begins on UFC Fight Pass from 6:30 pm ET on Saturday, November 4

Main Card

PPV (10:00pm ET / 2:00am GMT)

  • Michael Bisping (-107) vs. Georges St-Pierre (-107)
  • Cody Garbrandt (-172) vs. T.J. Dillashaw (+158)
  • Joanna Jedrzejczyk (-485) vs. Rose Namajunas (+415)
  • Jorge Masvidal (+158) vs. Stephen Thompson (-172)
  • Paulo Borrachinha (-214) vs. Johny Hendricks (+186)

Prelims

FS1 (8:00pm ET / 12:00am GMT)

  • Joe Duffy vs. James Vick
  • Mark Godbeer vs. Walt Harris
  • Ion Cutelaba vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk
  • Randy Brown vs. Mickey Gall

Fight Pass Prelims

UFC Fight Pass (6:30pm ET / 10:30pm GMT)

  • Curtis Blaydes vs. Aleksei Oleinik
  • Corey Anderson vs. Ovince Saint Preux
  • Ricardo Ramos vs. Aiemann Zahabi

UFC Fight Night 119: Brunson vs. Machida

UFC Fight Night 119: Brunson vs. Machida

The UFC has put together a fantastic card for their return to Sao Paulo, Brazil on October 28 for UFC Fight Night 119.

The main event features the reappearance of Lyoto Machida who will compete in a middleweight bout against Derek Brunson.  Machida has been missing from the sport since June 2015 in which he lost via third-round TKO to Yoel Romero. Just before stepping back inside the UFC’s octagon against Dan Henderson, Machida was removed from the event and suspended from competing due to a drug policy violation. Machida received an 18-month suspension from USADA after declaring consumption of a product that contained a prohibited substance.

If Machida was hoping to ease back into form inside the octagon, he hasn’t got the best opponent for it. Derek Brunson, who is coming off a quick 76-second TKO win against Daniel Kelly at UFC Fight Night 110, is one of the fastest starters in the UFC. The victory against Kelly halted a two-fight win streak in which Brunson came ever so close to stopping Robert Whittaker in Melbourne, Australia before losing a relatively controversial decision to Anderson Silva at UFC 208.

The co-main event will see Brazilian Demian Maia take on the rising star in the welterweight division, Colby Covington. After tearing through the ranks and cementing himself as the #1 contender in the division, Maia was decisively beaten by UFC champion Tyron Woodley at UFC 214. It was Maia’s first loss in 2014 and marked the end of a seven-fight winning streak. He will look to get back on track against Colby Covington who is now on a four-fight winning streak after losing to Warlley Alves at UFC 194. With wins over Dong Hyun Kim and Bryan Barberena, Covington is quickly climbing the ranks. A matchup with Maia will be his greatest test to date.

Unlike the previous UFC Fight Night 118 card in Poland, this event is truly stacked with exciting and highly significant fights. The main card runs six fights deep and will begin with John Lineker looking to rebound from a loss against Marlon Vera. Both of these fighters enter UFC Fight Night 119 on completely different trajectories. Lineker had nearly reached the top of the ladder in the bantamweight division but was outclassed by T.J. Dillashaw. Vera, on the other hand, is on the other end of the division’s scale but is slowly working his way up. His win over the retiring Brad Pickett was backed up by an impressive first-round submission of Brian Kelleher, also.

Next, Thiago Santos will find himself in the octagon with Jack Hermansson. Santos has now ruined two opponents consecutively in Jack Marshman and Gerald Meerschaert, which quickly erased the crazily unexpected loss to Eric Spicely at UFC Fight Night 95. Jack Hermansson is also on a two-fight win streak after first round stoppages of Brad Scott and Alex Nicholson.

Jim Miller will do battle with Francisco Trinaldo on the main card. Miller dropped a decision to Anthony Pettis most recently and before that he felt short against Dustin Poirier. Miller continues to be a challenging fight for almost anybody in the division and is still improving at the age of 34. Trinaldo recently had his outstanding seven-fight win streak broken by rising lightweight Kevin Lee. Trinaldo looked superb in the first round and badly hurt Lee before “The Motown Phenom” recovered in round two and won via submission.

Moreover, two talented bantamweights will collide when Rob Font takes on Pedro Munhoz in Brazil. After losing to Jimmie Rivera, Munhoz has bounced back with three consecutive victories. His opponent, Rob Font is now 4-1 in the UFC with his only loss coming to John Lineker.

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Predictions and Best Bets

Demian Maia vs. Colby Covington

Not only is this one of the most intriguing contests on the entire card, but it is also where the value lies. Believe it or not, Demian Maia (yes, the guy who was recently on a winning streak that included victories over Jorge Masvidal, Carlos Condit, Gunnar Nelson and Neil Magny) is the underdog against Colby Covington.

We can see the argument for it. Demian Maia was completely exposed in his title challenge against Tyron Woodley at UFC 214. Maia, an incredible submission artist, had difficult taking Woodley down to the mat. In fact, he went 0-24 for takedowns through the bout and looked hopeless against Woodley’s spectacular takedown defense. Enter Colby Covington, a talented wrestler who can stuff Maia’s takedowns, and it all makes sense.

However, unlike Woodley, Covington is not the best of strikers and will need to rely on his usual gameplan of grinding out victories on the mat to secure a decision victory. If he does, he will give Maia all the opportunity that he needs to hunt for a submission. We have seen it before in the UFC, Warlley Alves grabbed the neck of Covington and strangled him. Maia could do the same.

Bet: Demian Maia to win
Odds: +120 (6/5 or $2.20)

UFC Fight Night 119 card

UFC Fight Night 119 begins on UFC Fight Pass from 7:00 pm ET on Saturday, October 21

Main Card

FS1 (10:00pm ET / 2:00am GMT)

  • Lyoto Machida (+130) vs. Derek Brunson (-170)
  • Colby Covington (-155) vs. Demian Maia (+115)
  • Rob Font (-185) vs. Pedro Munhoz (+145)
  • Jim Miller (+140) vs. Francisco Trinaldo (-180)
  • Jack Hermansson (-160) vs. Thiago Santos (+120)
  • John Lineker (-430) vs. Marlon Vera (+310)

Prelims

FS2 (8:00pm ET / 12:00am GMT)

  • Vicente Luque vs. Niko Price
  • Antonio Carlos Junior vs. Jack Marshman
  • Hacran Dias vs. Jared Gordon
  • Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs. Max Griffin

Fight Pass Prelims

UFC Fight Pass (7:00pm ET / 11:00pm GMT)

  • Jarred Brooks vs. Deiveson Figueiredo
  • Christian Colombo vs. Marcelo Golm

UFC Fight Night 118: Cowboy vs. Till

UFC Fight Night 118: Cowboy vs. Till

The UFC is back to regular schedule now after a short break between UFC 216 and UFC Fight Night 118.

UFC Fight Night 118 will be the second time that the UFC has ever hosted an event in Poland. The main event features an intriguing contest between proven fighter Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone (-140) against an up-and-coming talent in Darren Till (+136).

Donald Cerrone is known for taking any fight, anytime, anywhere and there could be no better example than him fighting Darren Till in Poland. Darren Till is undefeated through 15 fights and has made a name for himself as a calm, composed, efficient and intelligent Muay Thai striker inside the UFC’s octagon. He has dissected his last two opponents in Bojan Velickovic and Jessin Ayari over the course of three rounds. This will be the first time that Till has competed for five rounds as a professional.

“Cowboy”, on the other hand, has been doing this for as long as we can remember. Although he’s on a two-fight losing streak to top talent in the division such as Jorge Masvidal and Robbie Lawler, there’s no doubting that Cerrone is still as dangerous as ever. His 2016 was one of the best of all mixed martial artists as he destroyed Alex Oliveira, Patrick Cote, Rick Story and Matt Brown with incredible finishes.

The co-main event features local star, Karolina Kowalkiewicz (-405), as she takes on Jodie Esquibel (+400) in a women’s strawweight contest. Kowalkiewicz is currently on a two-fight losing streak after losing a title challenge and then being submitted by Claudia Gadelha in the first round. She looks to bounce back to form against UFC newcomer, Jodie Esquibel. Esquibel makes the move to the UFC after featuring heavily in Invicta FC. After losing to Ashley Yoder in The Ultimate Fighter Season 23, Esquibel then dropped another fight to current UFC strawweight Alexa Grasso. A win over DeAnna Bennett was enough to earn Esquibel a shot in the UFC, although it’s against one of the best competitors in the division.

The two other main card bouts are a light heavyweight matchup between Jan Blachowicz (+138) and Devin Clark (-140) and a middleweight bout between Oskar Piechota (-177) and Jonathan Wilson (+164). Blachowicz has lost four of his last five bouts and will be competing against Clark who is on a two-fight win streak. UFC newcomer Oskar Piechota has heavy hands and an elite jiu-jitsu game and will be looking to run through the returning Jonathan Wilson.

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Predictions and Best Bets

Oskar Piechota vs. Jonathan Wilson

Oskar Piechota is one of the most talented additions to the UFC roster in recent history. He joins the UFC undefeated after ten fights and has won all of his fights via stoppage. He has a multitude of ways to finish opponents, too. He can either take them down to the mat and submit them or land crushing punches that seem to send opponents stiff much like Volkan Oezdemir does in the light heavyweight division.

Wilson returns after an extended layoff and may find himself being a little hesitant, especially against a fighter with so many ways to attack you.

This one shouldn’t last the distance, and in fact it might even end in the first round.

Bet: Total Rounds – Under 1.5

Odds: +100

UFC Fight Night 118 card

UFC Fight Night 118 begins on UFC Fight Pass from 11:30am ET on Saturday, October 21

Main Card

UFC Fight Pass (3:00pm ET / 7:00pm GMT)

  • Donald Cerrone vs. Darren Till
  • Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs. Jodie Esquibel
  • Jan Blachowicz vs. Devin Clark
  • Oskar Piechota vs. Jonathan Wilson

Fight Pass Prelims

UFC Fight Pass (11:30am ET / 3:30pm GMT)

  • Marcin Held vs. Nasrat Haqparast
  • Anthony Hamilton vs. Adam Wieczorek
  • Damian Stasiak vs. Brian Kelleher
  • Sam Alvey vs. Ramazan Emeev
  • Artem Lobov vs. Andre Fili
  • Salim Touahri vs. Warlley Alves
  • Lina Lansberg vs. Aspen Ladd
  • Felipe Arantes vs. Josh Emmett

Bellator 185: Mousasi vs. Shlemenko

Bellator 185: Mousasi vs. Shlemenko

Despite fighters dropping out of Bellator 185 like flies, the event is still likely to be fantastic. At the moment, it almost resembles the style of a boxing event, with one big fight and an underwhelming ‘undercard’.

Bellator 185 is headlined by an exciting matchup between Gegard Mousasi and Alexander Shlemenko. Mousasi, who is one of the best middleweight fighters in the world, only recently left the UFC to join Bellator. It was a fascinating move from the veteran who is currently on a five-fight winning streak. Mousasi will meet Shlemenko who is undefeated in his last seven fights. Mousasi and Shlemenko have combined for a total of 115 fights in their professional careers – which is truly unbelievable.

The matchup is bound to be extremely fascinating. Mousasi is coming off huge performances against Chris Weidman, Uriah Hall, Vitor Belfort, Thiago Santos and Thales Leites. He’s also knocked out his opponent in his last four fights. While Shlemenko’s competition hasn’t been as fierce, he’s definitely still one of the very best middleweights in the world. In fact, standing up with Shlemenko seems to be a recipe for disaster and it will be interesting to see how Mousasi approaches this fight with the Russian.

Also on the main card is Neiman Gracie vs. Zak Bucia, which has now been bumped to the co-main event. 28-year-old Neiman Gracie is undefeated through six fights and has five submission victories to his name. The 18-8 Zak Bucia will be making his Bellator debut at Bellator 185 after managing a three-fight win streak at Shamrock FC.

One of the most exciting prospects in mixed martial arts will also feature on the card when boxing star Heather Hardy returns to the Bellator cage for the second time. Heather Hardy made her MMA debut at Bellator NYC in July and was involved in one of the best fights of 2017 against Alice Yauger. Hardy will face Kristina Williams at Bellator 185.

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Predictions and Best Bets

Gegard Mousasi vs. Alexander Shlemenko

Everyone is expecting Gegard Mousasi to walk in the door at Bellator and storm through the competition. Well, before he even gets to the champion, he needs to get through Alexander Shlemenko. Shlemenko is an unbelievably tough, durable and intelligent striker who packs vicious and fight-stopping power.

Gegard is the more technically sound of the two and he deserves to be the betting favorite. But, the gap between these two fighters isn’t as large as the bookmakers are suggesting.

For this reason, we’ll take the value play on Shlemenko and hope that he can upset Gegard Mousasi.

Bet: Alexander Shlemenko to win

Odds: +235

Bellator 185 card

Bellator 185 begins on Spike.com from 7:00pm ET on Friday, October 20

Main Card

Spike TV (9:00pm ET / 1:00am GMT)

  • Gegard Mousasi vs. Alexander Shlemenko
  • Neiman Gracie vs. Zak Bucia
  • Heather Hardy vs. Kristina Williams
  • Ana Julaton vs. Lisa Blaine
  • Ryan Quinn vs. Marcus Surin

Fight Pass Prelims

Spike.com (7:00pm ET / 11:00pm GMT)

  • Vinicius DeJesus vs. Joaquin Buckley
  • Steve Skrzat vs. Costelle Van Steenis
  • Jordan Young vs. Alec Hooben
  • Kevin Carrier vs. Kastroit Xhema
  • Vovka Clay vs. Frank Sforza
  • John Beneduce vs. Dean Hancock

Bellator 184: Eduardo Dantas vs. Darrion Caldwell

Bellator 184: Eduardo Dantas vs. Darrion Caldwell

This Bellator card, like many of recently, is sneakily stacked from start to finish with top quality talent. The main card especially is bringing out the best bantamweight and featherweight prospects that the organization has on offer.

The main event features a fascinating Bellator Bantamweight Championship bout between Eduardo Dantas and Darrion Caldwell. Caldwell hasn’t competed in 2017 after he defeated Joe Taimanglo in a rematch to reclaim his earlier loss. It was a surprising defeat for Darrion Caldwell, who entered the fight as a huge betting favorite and was regarded as one of the best prospects over at Bellator. The win put him right back on track and clearly at the top of the line as he now is challenging Eduardo Dantas for the title.

Eduardo Dantas is an example of a super cool and composed champion; nothing fazes Dantas. He’s now on a four-fight win streak, and this will be the seventh time that he has been involved in a title fight with Bellator. His most recent outings have been difficult ones for him and both opponents, Joe Warren and Leandro Higo have pushed him to the very limits.

In the co-main event, Daniel Straus heads back into the cage after losing his Bellator featherweight title to Patricio Freire. It was a tough loss for Straus, who now will have to start the journey back to the championship all over again. It’s not an easy pathway, either, as it all begins with a hungry Emmanuel Sanchez who is ready to give it his all at Bellator 184.

Also on the main card is Bellator veteran Pat Curran, who hasn’t competed in close to 500 days. He’ll return, as well as many others on this main card, and hope to settle back into the rhythm of things relatively fast. He won’t get much of a chance to relax, though, because his opponent John “Macapa” Teixeira is a hungry fighter who brings incredible pace and ferocity with him from the opening seconds.

If that’s not enough, recent Bellator signing, Leandro Higo will be making his second appearance in the organization after losing to Eduardo Dantas in his inaugural performance for Bellator. Higo pushed Dantas to a split decision and now will be facing off with the also aforementioned Joe Taimanglo, the same fighter who upset Darrion Caldwell and shocked the world.

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Predictions and Best Bets

Leandro Higo vs. Joe Taimanglo

When Leandro Higo crossed over to Bellator, most people thought that he would run through the division and claim Bellator’s Bantamweight Championship. Unfortunately for Higo, he had a nightmare start in the organization after failing to make weight in his championship bout against Eduardo Dantas. Instead, the fight would be a non-title fight and after losing a three round split decision, Higo is now going to need to work his way back to the top by defeating Joe Taimanglo.

Joe Taimanglo is no slouch, either. He recently picked up a career-changing victory against Darrion Caldwell, who is challenging for the title this weekend. After submitting Caldwell and shocking the world, he would eventually lose a rematch with Caldwell but only after pushing him to the very limits yet again.

Prediction

Leandro Higo is one of the premier grapplers across mixed martial arts in any division. His excellent control, slick techniques and amazing ability to submit opponents from any position will be on display this weekend at Bellator 184. Whether or not Higo can submit Taimanglo is a fair question, because Taimanglo has an outstanding ‘never say die’ attitude.

The odds here are short, but not short enough to keep me from betting on Higo.

Bet: Leandro Higo

Odds: -203

Bellator 184 Main Card

Friday, October 6, 2017

PPV – (9pm ET / 1am GMT)

  • Eduardo Dantas (-111) vs. Darrion Caldwell (+100)
  • Daniel Straus (-170) vs. Emmanuel Sanchez(+155)
  • Pat Curran (-160) vs. John Teixeira (+155)
  • Leandro Higo (-200) vs. Joe Taimanglo (+180)

UFC 216: Tony Ferguson vs. Kevin Lee

Tony Ferguson vs. Kevin Lee

UFC 216 should be nothing short of spectacular.

The main event features an exciting UFC Interim Lightweight Championship bout in which the winner of Tony Ferguson (-200) and Kevin Lee (+190) will realistically be awarded with an opportunity to Conor McGregor. McGergor, the current UFC lightweight champion, has recently expressed interest in returning to the cage to defend his title.

The co-main event matchup sees Demetrious Johnson (-1000) square off with Ray Borg (+760) in an attempt to break Anderson Silva’s record of ten consecutive title defenses. Johnson tied the record with a win over Wilson Reis earlier this year and if he defeats Borg at UFC 216, he’ll likely sit in the history books of the UFC forever.

Also on the main card is an exciting heavyweight bout between Fabricio Werdum (-225) and Derrick Lewis (+215). The pairing of Werdum and Lewis will make for an instantly entertaining matchup as they both bring unique styles and abilities with them to the octagon.

The first fight of the main card will be an intriguing lightweight battle between Beneil Dariush (-225) and Evan Dunham (+211). Both Dariush and Dunham are desperately trying to crack into the UFC’s top ten rankings for the lightweight division.

Up-and-coming prospects also feature on UFC 216 in Las Vegas when Tom Duquesnoy stands toe-to-toe with fellow prospect Cody Stamann. Talented flyweight Magomed Bibulatov will also face his toughest test to date when he steps inside the cage with John Moraga.

Predictions and Best Bets

Tony Ferguson vs. Kevin Lee

Want a hot tip? This fight is going to be amazing.

Tony Ferguson, one of the most feared lightweights in all of mixed martial arts, has been clawing his way to a title shot for years now. He’s eventually arrived at the top end of the division and would be a certain challenger for the UFC Lightweight Championship; however Conor McGregor is away from the sport temporarily. The UFC, in recognition of Fergusons’ efforts have created an interim title for him to contend for and he’ll meet Kevin Lee in the main event as a result.

While Ferguson earned his right to contend at the top, Kevin Lee may have just talked his way into this fight. When the two engaged in a heated argument moments after Lee defeated Michael Chiesa via rear-naked choke, the UFC must have been licking their lips. Now, in the lead up to the fight, all the UFC want to show us is the relentless back-and-forth trash talk that these two fighters have been spraying.

Prediction

Tony Ferguson is a freakishly good mixed martial artist. There’s nothing traditional about his style, either. He uses all sorts of wacky techniques such as inversions, knee bars and unique sprawl attempts to keep his opponent busy. Kevin Lee, on the other hand, is about as traditional as can be. Lee wrestles opponents to the mat before beating them up and submitting them with a rear-naked choke.

There are plenty of things to consider in this matchup, and while Tony Ferguson may have a clear edge in this matchup it might not be by as much as the bookmakers are making it out to be.

Ferguson will have fight-changing moments on the feet, but it may just take one small mistake for Kevin Lee to shoot in underneath one of Ferguson’s spinning attacks and secure a double leg takedown.

Take the underdog in this one and bet on Kevin Lee to win by submission.

Bet: Kevin Lee to win

Odds: +190

Demetrious Johnson vs. Ray Borg

Demetrious Johnson is so far above the rest of the flyweights in the UFC that it’s kind of ridiculous.

Time and time again, Johnson has dominated opponents. It’s not an all-out brutality via relentless assault, though. Instead, Johnson is a defensive mastermind and ensures that he gives damage while not taking any. In fact, his last opponent, Wilson Reis, struggled to connect with “Mighty Mouse” and landed approximately 15% of his attempted strikes.

Ray Borg is no easy task for Demetrious Johnson, however. Borg has an insane ability to scramble out of bad positions – probably better than anyone else in the UFC. Even expert jiu-jitsu specialist Jussier Formiga wrapped up Borg from the back in their last fight but Borg scrambled out of the position with ease.

Prediction

Both Demetrious Johnson and Ray Borg fight with a slow pace as they tend to get a read on their opponent and measure their timing. The first round or two may start exactly the same, but once Demetrious Johnson gets going, its game over. Borg may remain competitive for the first ten minutes as he outscrambles and tries to counter Demetrious Johnson, but Johnson will pick up the pace as soon as he feels confident and by the third round, “Mighty Mouse” should have this one all wrapped up.

In reality, it may take Demetrious Johnson less than five minutes to dispatch of Ray Borg – especially if he wants to put a stamp on his record-breaking performance.

Bet: Total Rounds – Under 4.5

Odds: -120

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UFC 216 card

UFC 216 begins on UFC Fight Pass from 6:30pm ET on Saturday, October 7

Main Card

PPV (10pm ET /)

  • Tony Ferguson vs. Kevin Lee
  • Demetrious Johnson vs. Ray Borg
  • Fabricio Werdum vs. Derrick Lewis
  • Beneil Dariush vs. Evan Dunham

Preliminary Card

FX (8pm ET /)

  • Tom Duquesnoy vs. Cody Stamann
  • Will Brooks vs. Nik Lentz
  • Lando Vannata vs. Bobby Green
  • Pearl Gonzalez vs. Poliana Botelho

Fight Pass Prelims

UFC Fight Pass (6:30 pm ET /)

  • Walt Harris vs. Mark Godbeer
  • John Moraga vs. Magomed Bibulatov
  • Thales Leites vs. Brad Tavares
  • Matt Schnell vs. Marco Beltran