The 55th Grammy Awards will take place in Los Angeles on Sunday 10 February 2013 and, while bookmakers are offering up no value in the Album of the Year race, there are good opportunities for punters in the other major categories. The best opportunity was seeing Rihanna’s nipple ring though.
Seriously though, bookmakers are correct to have Mumford & Son’s sophomore effort, Babel, as the warm favourite to win Album of the Year. The folk band’s long player is trading at odds of around 1-3 to make it back-to-back wins for the United Kingdom in this race after Adele’s victory last year.
Of the 15 editors and experts polled on GoldDerby, the top awards analysis website in the world, 10 of them are tipping Babel to win Album of the Year, with three going for El Camino by The Black Keys and two for Some Nights by Fun.
Babel’s odds are probably a little bit on the short side but it is difficult to make a case for backing either El Camino or Some Nights at the available odds. Album of the Year is the most prestigious of the Grammy Awards category but that does not mean that punters have to place a bet on it.
Besides, there is plenty of value for Grammy Awards punters to vacuum up in the Song of the Year, Best New Artist and Record of the Year races because people who spend their lives assessing these events disagree with the odds.
Let us start with the best value option of the three, which is We Are Young at odds of around 6-5 in the Song of the Year category. Number one in the United States of America for six consecutive weeks across the months of March 2012 and April 2012, Fun’s biggest hit to date is the pick of a dozen of GoldDerby’s 15 analysts, with the other three tipping Carly Rae Jepsen’s catchy Call Me Maybe. Twelve out of 15 equates to an 80 per cent probability, whereas odds of 6-5 represent only a 45.45% chance. If the GoldDerby boys and girls are correct, We Are Young should be around 1-4.
Not very far behind We Are Young in the appetising stakes is the offer of odds of around 7-4 that Fun wins the Best New Artist category. Some bookmakers are favouring Hunter Hayes even though the young country star has picked up just three 2013 Grammy Awards nominations and none of GoldDerby’s 15 sages thinks that he will receive the prize. Ten of them think that Fun will triumph, with the other five in the Frank Ocean camp. One could back both Fun and Ocean at odds of around 7-4 and 2-1 respectively for a payout of roughly 4-9 but it makes more appeal to back Fun on its own.
Record of the Year seems to be the most competitive of the major 2013 Grammy Awards races but one could argue that bookmakers do not have sufficient percentage in the two betting market leaders, Fun’s We Are Young and Gotye’s Somebody That I Used To Know. Both tracks are trading at odds of around 7-4 in spite of attracting 14 of the 15 thumbs up from GoldDerby’s 15 analysts. Lonely Boy by The Black Keys is getting the nod from the one dissenter. We Are Young is outpolling Somebody That I Used To Know by eight votes to six currently so punters should be interested in getting their hands on any quote that is odds against.
One may have to shop around to find a wide range of 2013 Grammy Awards betting markets because, unfortunately, a lot of bookmakers have taken the precaution of suspending their lines in the lead up to the glamour event in Los Angeles.
However, as one can see from the 2013 Grammy Awards analysis posted above, it is worth one’s while exploring the websites of online bookmakers because this is one event on which they tend to make mistakes. The Grammy Awards are a lot harder to assess than, say, the Academy Awards because there are few, if any, significant precursors for the music prizes. Finally, play this song and let the cash roll in 🙂