Just one week after the UFC’s breakthrough pay-per-view of 2017, UFC 217, the promotion heads to Norfolk, Virginia with a fascinating fight card.
The event is headlined by a superb lightweight contest between Dustin Poirier and Anthony Pettis. Poirier and Pettis remain two of the toughest challenges in the UFC’s deep lightweight division and will battle it out for the opportunity to stay relevant in the hunt for a UFC title. For Pettis, he is a former champion and has since been looking for a path back to the top. Poirier, on the other hand, has always been hovering outside of title contention but a win over Pettis moves him right up there in the rankings.
In the co-main event, Matt Brown will have his very last fight in the UFC. He will be battling it out against Diego Sanchez in a welterweight contest. The 36-year-old Brown is on a three-fight losing streak, although at the hands of stiff competition in the welterweight division including Maia, Ellenberger, and Cerrone. Sanchez enters this contest after swapping wins and losses since 2014. He most recently lost to Al Iaquinta at UFC Fight Night 108.
Heavyweight veteran Andrei Arlovski will be thrown to the wolves yet again when he faces Junior Albini in. Albini entered the UFC at UFC on FOX 25 and floored Timothy Johnson just minutes into round one. His boxing looked crisp, and he should pose a significant threat to many of the UFC’s heavyweight division. Arlovski enters this fight on a five-fight losing streak and having lost to two of the UFC’s best up-and-coming heavyweight prospects consecutively. A defeat at UFC Fight Night 120 could make it three in a row.
Also on the card, Nate Marquardt does battle with Cezar Ferreira, Raphael Assuncao will face off with Matthew Lopez in an important bantamweight contest, and Joe Lauzon will stand toe-to-toe with the ever-dangerous Clay Guida.
Predictions and Best Bets
We enjoyed a fantastic bet on T.J. Dillashaw last week at UFC 217 to take home the UFC Bantamweight Championship after entering as a +158 underdog.
This week you will find us betting on Dustin Poirier to get the job done against Anthony Pettis.
Dustin Poirier vs. Anthony Pettis
If you are simply basing your predictions off a fighter’s resume, it makes sense to bet on Anthony Pettis in this spot. Pettis has long been one of the most feared and talented fighters in the UFC’s lightweight division after his spectacular time at WEC. Recently, though, Pettis is 2-4 in his last six fights with losses to Rafael dos Anjos, Eddie Alvarez, Edson Barboza and Max Holloway. His two wins in this time have been against Charles Oliveira and Jim Miller. Despite losing to all of these tough opponents, he has never been far off the pace and managed to showcase his unique abilities in each of the fights.
Like Pettis, Poirier steps into the cage this weekend after defeating Jim Miller most recently. After that fight, he battled Eddie Alvarez at UFC 211 and stunned Alvarez badly before the fight was later called a no contest after Alvarez was deemed to land a knee to his grounded opponent accidentally. However, we can extract information from this fight, and we saw Poirier has greatly improved his boxing ability and composure inside the cage.
Pettis may look the better fighter in the early stages, but expect Poirier to find his range and land a knockout blow on Anthony Pettis this weekend.
Bet: Anthony Pettis to win
Odds: +110 (11/10, $2.10)
Bonus Accumulator Bet
There are five underdogs across UFC Fight Night 120 which we believe to have outstanding value.
- Dustin Poirier
- Diego Sanchez
- Matthew Lopez
- Joe Lauzon
By combining these four selections into an accumulator (multi bet) we get exceptional odds of 52/1.
UFC Fight Night 120 fight card
UFC Fight Night 120 begins on UFC Fight Pass from 6:30 pm ET on Saturday, November 11.
FS1 (10:00pm ET / 2:00am GMT)
- Dustin Poirier (+108) vs. Anthony Pettis (-122)
- Matt Brown (-290) vs. Diego Sanchez (+261)
- Junior Albini (-231) vs. Andrei Arlovski (+210)
- Nate Marquardt (+198) vs. Cezar Ferreira (-226)
- Raphael Assuncao (-285) vs. Matthew Lopez (+249)
- Joe Lauzon (-101) vs. Clay Guida (-108)
FS1 (8:00pm ET / 12:00am GMT)
- John Dodson vs. Marlon Moraes
- Tatiana Suarez vs. Viviane Pereira
- Sage Northcutt vs. Michel Quinones
- Angela Hill vs. Nina Ansaroff
Fight Pass Prelims
UFC Fight Pass (6:30pm ET / 10:30pm GMT)
- Court McGee vs. Sean Strickland
- Jake Collier vs. Marcel Fortuna
- Darren Stewart vs. Karl Roberson